International commerce

April 30th, 2010

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We’re heading to Europe for a couple weeks (I’m sure you’ll commiserate) as Rick has two conferences there. (Don’t worry, I’ll keep posting blogs about New Zealand—you know how well I stay on subject.) We decided to get a chunk of euros, so we don’t have to worry about finding bank machines when we’re just off the plane after 11 time zones and 30 hours in transit.

I went to our usual bank downtown. Whangarei gets a certain number of international travelers, so of course the bank had euros; it just didn’t have very many. (Of course it would have had enough had I ordered a week in advance, but that never crossed my mind.) I cleaned them out and moved on to the next bank.

Almost all the big banks are owned by Australians, and the next one happened to be the one we’d used when we lived in Australia. Sure, they had euros, but I couldn’t have any. Why? Because they only sell them out of bank accounts. They’d be happy to buy any that I had; they just wouldn’t sell me any.

That bank referred me to a foreign exchange dealer up the street and around the corner. One of the skeletons in my closet, however, is that I was a banker back in the dark ages, when Chemical and Manny Hanny (that’s Manufacturers Hanover Trust to you laity) had not yet ended up in Chase’s family tree; Continental Illinois was still on its way to proving that it was not too big to fail; ATMs were off-line, so the limits on withdrawals were wishful thinking; and the only book-entry securities were Treasury Bills. So I turned in, two doors down, at the next bank. They would sell me all the euros I wanted, no questions asked, no identification required. Done and dusted.

I also needed a laptop sleeve.  I had carefully measured with my metric tape. Computers are sold by appliance, furniture, and electronics stores. At the appliance store, the salesman brought out his measuring tape, which had both metric and US/English measurements on it. It turns out that laptops are measured in inches. Ah, the vagaries of international commerce.

 

Bought some JP Morgan and BofA long calls (warrants) in the pre-open….

April 30th, 2010

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The great earnings will eventually win out!!!

Republicans side with banks–not with American families

April 30th, 2010

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Elizabeth Warren: GOP Reform Plan Is A Failure, Republicans Choosing Banks Over Families

It’s time for senators — especially the Republicans — to square their upcoming votes on financial reform with their long-professed desire to protect families, said consumer advocate and federal bailout watchdog Elizabeth Warren on Wednesday in an interview with the Huffington Post.

“Everyone in Washington claims to be on the side of families and to support reform,” said Warren, a member of the 2010 TIME 100 list of the world’s most influential people. “But the test is who votes to paper over problems with another regulatory system designed to fail and who votes for real Wall Street accountability even if it means that some donors will be disappointed.

“I’m tired of hearing politicians claim to support families and, at the same time, vote with the big banks on the most important financial reform package in generations. I’m deep-down tired of it.”

Of all the proposals in the 1,400-page Senate bill attempting to reform Wall Street and protect American consumers, none is more contentious than the one calling for the creation of a consumer-focused agency dedicated to protecting borrowers from abusive lenders.

Reform-minded Democrats want a powerful independent entity able to defend powerless families from the banks and financial firms that squeeze profits out of customers through tricks, traps and outright predatory loans.

Moderates want to say that they voted for a bill that protects consumers–even if it really doesn’t.

Republicans profess a desire to protect consumers, acknowledging regulators’ past failures, but they also don’t want to stem the flow of credit or needlessly harm lenders’ ability to make a buck.

The Senate bill, authored by the banking committee’s chairman, Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, calls for a consumer entity to be housed inside the Federal Reserve. It largely, though, adheres to Warren’s four tests: a chief appointed by the president, an independent source of funding, the authority to write consumer rules and the ability to enforce them against unscrupulous lenders. The unit, thus, focuses squarely on consumers. Ensuring banks’ profitability is left to banking regulators.

The Republicans’ counter-proposal, released this week, fails all four of Warren’s tests.

It calls for a council led by the heads of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Reserve. They’d issue rules, supervise “our nation’s largest financial institutions, large non-bank mortgage originators, and other financial services providers who have violated the consumer protection statutes,” and enforce the rules.

Warren isn’t thrilled with the idea of allowing bank regulators — whose top priority is to ensure the profitability of the nation’s banks — to continue to oversee consumer protection, particularly when the OCC is involved.

“The problem with consumer protection is structure. Our current consumer regulatory process is designed to fail, and if we don’t fix it, it will fail again,” she said. “In every major dispute between customers and banks, the OCC entered the fray on the side of the banks. Clearly, banks — not their customers — were the OCC’s primary interest. The idea that the OCC would now be in a position to veto the new consumer agency is shameful.

“If our goal was to take any lessons from the crisis, we would do the reverse: Let’s give a consumer regulator a veto over the OCC,” Warren added. After all, “it wasn’t a consumer regulator who presided over the biggest financial meltdown in generations.”

She didn’t hold back in singling out the GOP’s plan, which the Harvard Law professor and bankruptcy expert said was “pure genius — for the banks who want to keep running things.”

“The substitute language on consumer protection is designed to paper over very real structural problems with a new system that is designed to fail as much as the status quo is,” Warren said. “The whole idea of the substitute is to take a bunch of regulators that already failed and throw them in a committee together.”

Asked if she thought Republicans such as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and Richard Shelby of Alabama are trying to protect families from predatory lenders, Warren let loose.

“It isn’t possible to protect families and at the same time to paper over the sorts of problems that led to the crisis with just another system that is designed to fail,” she said of the duo leading the GOP effort against the consumer agency. “The time has come for choosing.”

With Republicans abandoning their effort to prevent Dodd’s bill from being considered on the Senate floor (the bill passed a procedural hurdle on Wednesday), senators will soon begin offering and debating amendments.

Shelby hopes to weaken the consumer agency.

“This bill still contains a sprawling new consumer protection bureau that will find and force its way into facets of our economy that had nothing to do with the housing crisis,” he said in a Wednesday statement. “This massive new bureaucracy would have unchecked authority to regulate whatever it wants, whenever it wants, however it wants. I am aware of no other arm of the federal government this powerful, yet so unaccountable.”

On Tuesday, Shelby told reporters that the agency was “the biggest obstacle” keeping Democrats and Republicans from reaching a deal.

McConnell also has attacked the agency, as has Democrat Ben Nelson of Nebraska.

To dilute the agency’s power, Shelby and others will push proposals to give bank regulators more authority to rein it in, like replacing it altogether or giving bank regulators stronger veto authority.

The GOP proposal, for example, calls for the Fed chairman, currently Ben Bernanke, to be one of three leaders atop the consumer council.

“Can someone please ask Ben Bernanke if he actually wants to spend his time serving on that committee?” Warren asked. “How much time does he plan to carve out of his day to think about kickbacks on car loans or payday rollovers?

“Let’s give those issues to people who have the time and expertise to deal with them,” she added.

Sources who have been in meetings with Bernanke and have heard him discuss these issues privately say it’s “very hard to believe that he has any real interest” serving on a consumer council like the one envisioned by the GOP.

Another way Republicans and bank-friendly Democrats will try to weaken the bill’s consumer protection provisions is by repealing the portion of the bill that attempts to give states more power in going after big banks that violate consumers. At present, states are largely unable to thanks to an aggressive legal campaign over the past decade by the OCC.

National banks like Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Citibank argue that it’s too difficult and costly to comply with different consumer protection regimes in 50 states, so they need a national standard. The OCC agrees, and also touts the legal precedent set by numerous U.S. Supreme Court decisions interpreting the National Bank Act, the 19th-century law that forms the basis of the nation’s banking system.

States and consumer advocates say the OCC protects big banks at the expense of consumers. State officials argue that the OCC essentially allows for consumers to be preyed upon and defrauded. The OCC vigorously denies the accusations.

Warren points out, though, that other industries don’t get the special treatment afforded to national banks. In his proposal last summer, President Obama said the bill should end the OCC practice, known as preemption.

“Walmart operates in all 50 states, and it doesn’t come to Washington demanding that Congress protect it from state laws that demand workplace safety or environmental standards or anything else,” she said.

“Every other industry views compliance with state laws as a minor administrative cost of doing business. The big banks aren’t worried about the difficulty of following local laws — they have lawyers and computers to figure it out. Besides, thousands of little banks do it every day,” she added.

In the House, bank-friendly Democrats led by Melissa Bean of Illinois watered down what was initially a strong provision that effectively neutered the OCC’s authority to preempt state laws on everything from capping ATM fees to reducing overdraft charges and banning abusive home mortgage loans.

The bill now essentially resembles the status quo. Bean touts her vote on the House bill, which passed in December, as one for reform. So do the other legislators who voted against giving states more authority to crack down on abusive lenders, yet ultimately voted for the bill.

“There were others that thought they could get away with voting for the overall reform package while doing everything they could behind the scenes to hold water for the big banks and earn all those campaign contributions,” Warren said. “We’re about to find out if any senators want to play those games.”

She hopes to find out soon.

“Every day that goes by without a clear set of rules in place to guide our economy into the future is a day that costs us money,” she said. “Every credit card, payday loan, car loan and check overdraft that hides another fee or another bizarre interest calculation in the fine print costs American families. Every Too Big to Fail that takes on a little more risk, or leverages up just a little more, or that sucks capital away from another business that doesn’t have a government guarantee at no charge costs American families. Every lousy product sold to a family, to a retirement fund, or to a local township costs American families.

“We cannot rebuild a strong and reliable economy without new rules,” she continued. “We need those rules now. Not next month, not in six months, not in a year. Now.”

If a Murderer Shoots Someone, Would You Give Them Another Gun?

April 30th, 2010

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During the week that followed September 16 2008 billions of monies disappeared from the stock markets of the world triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the wayward investment bankers. It was the beginning of the biggest recession since the 1930’s, almost a century before.

In the panic that ensued, politicians ran around like headless chickens unsure of what to do to avoid the onset of financial collapse and the onset of a full blown recession, even depression.

It was the banker’s friend, the incumbent British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, pompously proud of his classical economics background that came up with the misguided solution that pouring more borrowed money into the coffers of the perpetrators of the crimes would solve the problem. Unfortunately London’s misguided solution [and self interested solution since the banks own London] was taken up quickly by other governments as being their panacea.

But consider this, on that fateful week in 2008 when the stock markets lost their billions, what happened to the wealth of the world? Was a car still worth a car? Was a plane still worth a plane? Was a house still worth a house? The answer is simple, the wealth of the world was unchanged, all the roads, bridges, buildings in fact every physical thing that represents the worlds wealth was worth exactly the same. No loss, well at least not yet.

The tragedy of the ‘bail out the Banks’ policy is that it just bolstered up an already seriously faulty system. The money governments used to bail out the banks was borrowed from the banks [where else would they get it from?], using the future as collateral. Which is just another example of how most the money in the financial services sector is fictional; it can have any value you want to give it, it’s just a giant money-go-round. The fact that it can be worth this much one day and less the next is a measure of its volatility, its unreality. Who in the real world cares if the total amount of money swilling around in the financial services sector is worth a dollar to the dollar or a cent to the dollar? Who in the real world cares if one financial services company makes 5 billion profit in the first quarter? It just means that someone somewhere else made an equivalent loss.

But the biggest tragedy in all this is the knock on effect of all ‘bank misdemeanor’ induced recessions, unemployment. The unemployment of just one potential wealth creator is the single most devastating factor in social economics.

But before I go any further with this, let me just say that unemployment is too broad a description for the non-employment of a person. First we have to identify in which sector of the economy the individual is employed, for it is only the loss of a ‘wealth creator’ that will affect the health of the economy, anyone employed in the financial services sector that loses their job will have little or no effect on the economy, [other than possibly the negative effect if they claim unemployment benefit]. In this respect I prefer to think of the ‘employed’ as two distinct groups:

  • Wealth creationists and,
  • Those in parasitic employment.

So, it is my contention that if the billions poured into the banks had instead been poured into wealth creation industries the world’s economy would not only have recovered very quickly but it would have been built upon a solid foundation of boosted wealth creation. Salt of the earth wealth creation companies like Chrysler Motors would not have teetered on the edge of extinction through no fault of their own. Unemployment, instead of increasing would have been dramatically reduced, almost overnight and the creation of wealth would have continued unabated. The inevitable migration of those formerly in parasitic employment towards the wealth creation sector would have further boosted the economy.

At the time of the 2008 meltdown a senior executive at of one of the large investment banks admitted during a TV interview that a cull in the financial services sector was overdue. Cull is not exactly the word most people would use these days.

The customer is no longer king

April 30th, 2010

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The customer is no longer king Whose business is it anyway – by John Zenkin The Goldman Sachs

Puerto Rican Lenders Face Their Own Crisis

April 30th, 2010

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The latest American banking crisis is taking shape far from Wall Street and the empty subdivisions that stretch across the Sun Belt.

The trouble this time is in Puerto Rico, the Caribbean commonwealth whose banks have been laid low by economic woes that make the mainland’s recession seem mild.

Now, Washington policy makers, who watch over the territory’s banks as they do its defense and foreign relations, are moving to broker mergers among several major lenders there to head off what could be a series of costly failures. Deals could come as early as Friday.

Few people probably realize that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, which insures bank deposits in the 50 states, also insures billions of deposits in Puerto Rico. So if a bank in Puerto Rico goes under, customers are protected.

Rising unemployment, sinking real estate values and deteriorating government finances have worsened Puerto Rico’s chronically troubled economy and added new urgency to the efforts to shore up its banks. Loans are scarce, making life even harder for many local businesses.

Etienne Cardona, the owner of Café Hacienda San Pedro, a coffee shop in San Juan, has been trying for six months to get an $80,000 loan to open a second location.

“They ask for so many details that require a substantial investment before the loan is even approved that we decided to put off the project,” Mr. Cardona said. “For now, and until things get better, we’ll just stay here.”

A lending slowdown of this kind often causes a vicious circle — slower growth, more job losses and, in turn, an even sharper pullback in lending.

“This why it is so important for the banking system to get back on its feet,” said Troy Wright, president of the Puerto Rico Bankers Association and the head of Scotiabank’s operations there.

At least three of Puerto Rico’s banks — Eurobank, R-G Premier Bank and Westernbank — are operating under cease-and-desist orders from regulators, restricting their ability to make new loans.

Read More:   http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/30/business/30fdic.html?src=twt&twt=nytimespolitics

Saving the PIIGS

April 30th, 2010

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The latest news is, they’ve settled on a package of 120 billion euros (about $160 billion) to save the Greek economy. And the other PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, and Spain). And the European Union. Not to mention the global economy.

That’s what all the pundits are writing about: the problem of “contagion” and whether or not Greece has the “discipline” to get its fiscal house in order. Or, alternatively, whether Greece will be forced to default and leave the Eurozone. And, if so, what the effects will be on other countries.

What they’re mostly not discussing are the conditions that will be imposed in Greece to receive the bailout funds. And who will benefit from the bailout.

Only one commentator, Daniel Gros, has had the temerity to outline the proposed austerity measures. The goal, within Greece, is to lower unit labor costs—to boost profits (in the export sector) and guarantee higher profits (by lowering the fiscal deficit). The goal, outside of Greece, is to repay the bankers that hold Greek debt. Both sides were only too willing until now to shift the burden onto public debt. The Greek state didn’t tax employers for government programs. And bankers throughout Western Europe made handsome profits on Greek debt.

That Ponzi scheme came to an abrupt end (although one could see it coming years ago), and the new deal is going to shift the burden of “adjustment” onto Greek workers. Now. And massively.

Gros explains that unit labor costs need to be cut by 10 percent. To do that, the Greek government and Greek employers will be called on to lower nominal wages (in both the public and private sectors), extend working hours and years, change the tax structure (lower social security taxes and higher value-added taxes), cut social programs. That’s the plan—for Greece and, by extension, for the other countries that are threatening default.

It’s capitalism’s way of saving the PIIGS and its own porcine elites.

Reprieve for Banks, Foreclosure for Homeowners

April 29th, 2010

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Its first attempt at foreclosure relief–dubbed Making Home Affordable–having proven a dismal failure, the Obama administration recently implemented a new program called the Housing Finance Agency (HFA) Hardest Hit Fund.  According to Bloomberg News, the new program “[gives] bankers a reprieve.”

Is this some kind of joke?  Another reprieve for bankers?  The total spent so far on mortgage relief is $75 billion.  Meanwhile, Neil Barofsky, the inspector general charged with overseeing the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), estimates that the total cost of the Wall Street bailouts could eventually reach $23.7 trillion!

Foreclosures are at a record high. According to RealtyTrac, filings topped 367,000 last month, the highest monthly total since the reporting began. Nearly 260,000 homes and other properties were repossessed in the first quarter of the fiscal year. That’s an all-time record and a 35 percent jump from the previous year.  10,000 homes are going into foreclosure daily.

Read More:   http://www.commondreams.org/view/2010/04/29-6

No Wonder the Eurozone is Imploding

April 29th, 2010

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No Wonder the Eurozone is Imploding Courtesy of Washington’s Blog  You might assume that

No Financial Reform Amendment Votes This Week

April 29th, 2010

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http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/05ykbGZapk3xD/610x.jpg

After a three-day scramble “to bring financial regulatory reform to the Senate floor, the chamber is not expected to start voting on amendments until early next week, giving both sides ample time to regroup,” Roll Call reports.

Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) will seek to unify his caucus on language regulating derivatives by offering the first amendment.

Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) and Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Chairman Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) authored differing provisions on the issue, and while détente was reached, details must still be ironed out.

Friday and Monday are scheduled as “no vote” days, likely making “Tuesday the first day that the Senate will vote on an amendment.”

(credit image – getty)